Can Americans run out of
money? Yes.
Let's examine these two seemingly
contradictory assertions.
First, America, that is, the
United States government, cannot run out of money because it actually creates
money by spending. You see, US dollars are essentially federal government IOUs.
Dollars are created when the federal government issues checks or makes
electronic payments and the recipient's bank increases the balance in the
recipient's account by the amount of the payment. At that point of balance
increase, and not before, money is created in the US economy. If nothing else,
the US government is authorized by the Constitution to spend. Of course,
Congress could theoretically put an end to federal spending through
legislation. That legislation might end government spending, but, it technically
would not end the government's ability to spend. Thus, the federal government, which
does not need to have money in order to spend money, can never run out of
money.
What about the federal
"debt" you say? Well, decades ago Congress enacted an arbitrary law
that requires the US Treasury to sell Treasury securities in an amount equal to
the difference between federal spending and federal tax collections. Get that?
Spending does not follow Treasury security sales. Rather, Treasury security
sales follow the amount of federal spending and tax collections. The federal
"debt" that everyone complains about is the amount of outstanding
Treasury securities, not some amount of money the federal government had to
borrow to pay for its spending. The "debt ceiling" is a limit on Treasury
sales, not a limit on federal spending per se.
Now, on to the second
assertion - Americans can run out of money.
Money is created in two ways:
1) through bank lending, and 2) federal spending. In both cases, the private
sector, of which the American people, households, businesses, and local and
State governments are a part, are the recipients of this newly created money.
With bank lending, however, the borrower incurs a responsibility to pay the
money back. When he borrows $1000 from the bank he must pay it back, with
interest. Consequently, if money came only from bank lending there would be no net
money in play except for loan defaults. A growing money supply would
necessarily be only the flip side of a growing private sector debt load. In aggregation, the
private sector cannot, has not, and will never be able to create a positive net
amount of money. If it had to depend on itself, the private sector would always
stay in the hole to the tune of interest amounts.
On the other hand, when the
federal government spends into the private sector (all its spending goes into
the private sector by definition) there is no requirement that that money be
repaid to the federal government. However, there is a little thing called
federal taxes. The money paid to the federal government in the form of taxes simply
reduces the net amount of money the federal government has injected into the
private sector via its spending. If the federal government were to tax back exactly
as much as it spends, then there would be no net money flowing to the private
sector and the private sector would eventually run out of money, and be unable
to save a dime or pay interest on any private borrowing. Oh, by the way, that situation
where the federal government taxes back every dollar it spends, thus depriving
the private sector of any net money flow, is known as "The Balanced
Budget". Good thing we don't have a Constitutional requirement to balance
the budget, huh? Hear me Oh Tea Party, Libertarian Party, Republican Party, and even Democrat Party!!!
No comments:
Post a Comment